Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.077809 0.087249 0.097041 0.107928 0.119668 0.131919 0.145644
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.061174 0.074871 0.089942 0.107630 0.127694 0.149621 0.175272
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.048646 0.064786 0.083560 0.106696 0.134118 0.165274 0.203023
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042520 0.060969 0.083474 0.112346 0.147789 0.189284 0.240917
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037934 0.058205 0.084012 0.118298 0.161658 0.213701 0.279871
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032160 0.052970 0.080648 0.118726 0.168290 0.229203 0.308229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026400 0.046877 0.075382 0.115997 0.170388 0.238772 0.329203
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.023938 0.045140 0.075726 0.120491 0.181722 0.260007 0.364974
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021434 0.042963 0.075147 0.123497 0.190987 0.278646 0.397711
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.018989 0.040518 0.073879 0.125301 0.198501 0.295018 0.427720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016591 0.037799 0.071896 0.125827 0.204098 0.308826 0.454516
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016249 0.038586 0.075330 0.134370 0.221058 0.338065 0.501970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013917 0.035596 0.072731 0.134050 0.225888 0.351687 0.529966
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012237 0.033594 0.071581 0.135881 0.233910 0.369946 0.564703
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010459 0.031093 0.069351 0.135855 0.239167 0.384494 0.594749
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009977 0.031222 0.071660 0.143126 0.255423 0.414694 0.646581
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009542 0.031380 0.073997 0.150488 0.271968 0.445569 0.699788
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008304 0.029471 0.072365 0.151138 0.278204 0.461793 0.732888
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006799 0.026589 0.068614 0.147959 0.278344 0.469180 0.753738
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006366 0.026333 0.069870 0.153343 0.291907 0.496141 0.802276
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005799 0.025605 0.070113 0.156934 0.302689 0.519190 0.845587
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005163 0.024545 0.069578 0.159086 0.311183 0.538977 0.884504
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004480 0.023171 0.068252 0.159715 0.317184 0.555122 0.918401